Snow Storm Possible This Friday

The Northland has been under a very strange pattern of very warm air and now even has the possibility of seeing thunderstorms Monday as a cold front sparks off instability in the afternoon. The word on the street however is the snowfall that will occur on Friday. So far what we know is that there is a storm system that is 3,500 miles away between Hawaii and Alaska and has quite a distance to cover in the next few days.

The storm will make landfall in the Pacific Northwest bringing heavy showers and mountain snow to the Cascades and the Rockies.  After the storm passes the Rockies, a new low pressure will develop in Wyoming or Colorado. The track of the storm will depend on many factors, some of which include how strong the storm will get, where the new low pressure will develop, and also the position of an arctic high pressure in Canada.

The high pressure in Canada will act like a barrier to prevent this storm from moving farther north. If the storm doesn’t gather as much strength, the heaviest snow will pass south of the Northland.

We have three main long range forecasts that meteorologists take a look at. The Canada, United States, and Europe models. The Canada model tracks the storm farthest north. The United States and the Europe model tracks the heaviest snow farther south. If I had to pinpoint a forecast right now, I would say along and south of Highway 2 will be where the greatest snowfall amounts will occur. The model average shows the heaviest axis of snow from Southern Minnesota through Central Wisconsin, and into the U.P. of Michigan.

   

A lot can change from now until then and there still is the possibility that this storm could be much weaker and the Northland will see little or no snow out of this storm. Scenarios like the one I just mentioned can and have happened before. I would not gas up the snowblowers just yet, but rather be informed and monitor our latest forecast. We should have a more definitive answer by Wednesday.

-Meteorologist Gino Recchia